Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52277d4a6a0747ea9ac16bd8e4a71db89861b7171159e3680c19a4180d4e8ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfce1…98e3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 5,747$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.66 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,681$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.12 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 4,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 11c | 3,937$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 3c | 3,335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,624$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 11c | 2,043$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 1,998$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,570$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 918.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 848.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 11c | 773.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 11c | 520.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 13c | 520$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…089bbacked Yes | 15c | 454.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…2113backed Yes | 11c | 400.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 10c | 357.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 11c | 327.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 12c | 284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 11c | 265.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 12c | 239.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 12c | 218.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 174.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 13c | 151.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…f28dbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 125.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 11c | 119.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…a8fbbacked Yes | 11c | 112.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 10c | 109.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 11c | 95.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 13c | 89.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.