WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2c7f0811b6240a54105687de0c55aa4dd288340ce30c4e838def44e501c412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 52c | 24,616$12,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,720.72 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 52c | 6,584$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 75c | 6,551$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 6,154$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.24 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 5,189$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.01 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 1c | 4,362$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,620$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.44 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,338$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 3,098$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.22 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 3,084$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.32 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 1,223$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.86 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 976.07$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 897.83$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.71 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 820.5$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 794.75$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.78 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 600.57$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 571.9$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 31c | 409.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 51c | 358.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 349.47$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 239.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 202$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 33c | 199.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 174$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 164.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 105.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8ccfbacked Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 32c | 55.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 54.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…0974backed Under | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 51c | 46.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Over | 49c | 33.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 64c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 27.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta DreamPortlandFire won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.