WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8778b429dc589a4e3d1cd86f4173eff47f26cdbbf4f8cf003cfcba38f5ebda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 3,507$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.6 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 51c | 3,018$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 2,943$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.81 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,132$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.23 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.72 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 53c | 962$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.14 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 550.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 351.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 344.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 292.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 13c | 206.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 148.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 127.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 53c | 114.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 83.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 76.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 61.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 48.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 47c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 29.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 55c | 19.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta DreamPortlandFire won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.