WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8043756a873a56b526aeaf05783a15cf25f1801c5a556bffbc8410235ca6a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Atlanta Dream, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed PortlandFire | 52c | 18,573$9,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,985.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 14,300$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.02 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 8,629$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.05 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed PortlandFire | 53c | 7,930$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.1 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 6,352$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.69 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…2061backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 5,542$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 4,071$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.61 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 3,606$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.88 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 3,341$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.04 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 3,274$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.06 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 2,814$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire | 50c | 2,730$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.89 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 2,528$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 2,515$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 2,285$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.56 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 2,257$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 2,213$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 2,118$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.1 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 2,112$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.32 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 2,048$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,497$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.04 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,262$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 50c | 696.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 633.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 615$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 591.81$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 576$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 546$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 503.26$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed PortlandFire | 54c | 477.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed PortlandFire | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 370.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 321$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…bca7backed PortlandFire | 71c | 315.55$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed PortlandFire | 56c | 236.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 45c | 169.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Dream | 42c | 138.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 100.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 75.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 71.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Atlanta Dream | 44c | 61.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked PortlandFire | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked PortlandFire | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Atlanta Dream | 21c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PortlandFire | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed PortlandFire | 53c | 35.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Atlanta Dream | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce85…743dbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta DreamPortlandFire won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.