TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PortlandFireof Atlanta Dream, PortlandFire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire43c8,144$3,503 inWon+$4,640.5127449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Atlanta Dream57c7,787$4,438 inLost-$4,438.3610749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked PortlandFire46c4,200$1,932 inWon+$2,267.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream54c2,967$1,601 inLost-$1,601.391,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire68c868.42$591 inWon+$277.151,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Dream56c571.42$322 inLost-$321.964152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream54c461.31$249 inLost-$249.1132743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Atlanta Dream21c383.23$82 inLost-$82.3612846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Atlanta Dream58c344.83$200 inLost-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Atlanta Dream54c288$156 inLost-$155.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4adb…bca7backed Atlanta Dream58c182.81$106 inLost-$106.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked PortlandFire43c163$70 inWon+$92.9113147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked PortlandFire48c155.78$75 inWon+$80.787435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Atlanta Dream56c100$56 inLost-$566152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed PortlandFire47c96.19$45 inWon+$50.9834448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Dream52c77$40 inLost-$40.0421150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream53c75$40 inLost-$39.7561547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed PortlandFire47c75$35 inWon+$39.7532750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Atlanta Dream57c74.67$42 inLost-$42.4315938.4%61 W · 98 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream57c52.63$30 inLost-$3022967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream56c45.08$25 inLost-$25.2442649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire43c35.59$15 inWon+$20.2989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Atlanta Dream51c28.16$14 inLost-$14.4712345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Atlanta Dream55c27.44$15 inLost-$15.144932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.