Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37ecc5e4396c33f56cdc20faad33ca207f6e7fd3a9a551cbec59ed7b52555e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,249$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.47 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 590.94$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 62c | 530.96$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 501.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 387.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 39c | 343.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 171$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…bdcabacked Yes | 61c | 159.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 71c | 35.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.