MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcb3f7c3a44b51422b083278a2825e34c33001b170f026ea27a7fa56eed07ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 13,441$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.17 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722.6 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 9,735$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.68 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 5,492$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.57 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 62c | 2,428$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.92 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 1,647$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.35 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 44c | 1,626$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.35 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,284$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.93 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 1,130$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.44 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 53c | 974$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.78 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 47c | 974$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.78 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 45c | 957.38$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.82 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 668.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 51c | 647.05$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 637.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.9 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 58c | 589.74$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 572.22$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 2c | 553.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 56c | 540.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 511.9$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 356.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Over | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 61c | 270.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 49c | 209.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 32c | 189.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 61c | 161.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 64c | 144.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 125.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 73c | 98.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 82.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 42c | 70.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 59.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 53c | 56.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 25c | 56.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Under | 55c | 43.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 56c | 43.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 64c | 37.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 56c | 32.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Under | 66c | 26.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 58c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 56c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 56c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 57c | 17.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.