TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under44c118,000$51,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,539.81,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c110,781$62,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,657.5564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c16,038$8,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,094.4425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c6,144$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.8317250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c5,452$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c4,500$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c4,097$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.9784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over64c4,078$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.8419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c3,101$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.0410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over55c2,806$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.4386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c2,386$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c2,000$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.712,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.986055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7111558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under44c1,448$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9812146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under49c1,386$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.055349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under44c1,234$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.9621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f24…9a68backed Over57c1,224$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over54c1,042$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5133945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c889.4$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.231,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over45c777.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.788844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…3ca9backed Over70c773.87$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over55c751$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c701.33$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.051,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c600.01$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c549.04$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4516555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under29c538.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c500$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.521,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under44c453.05$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Over56c357.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4114552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under5c337.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under19c335$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.041,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Over67c300.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.644252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xecb4…3093backed Under4c293.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c266.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over72c257.17$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c231$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over55c221$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over55c217$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Over49c209.64$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c208.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x845a…5606backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8918653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10218850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under48c198.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6925340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c197.97$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over56c183.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.832138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x531b…da26backed Over56c181.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b4…73a6backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Over61c161.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c149$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c146.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under44c145.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3619950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over55c128.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c121.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under49c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under44c119$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0913757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over56c102.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2122844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under43c99.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0420650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under14c91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3425944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c72.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under45c71.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under44c67.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Over65c61.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.077549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c57.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over55c52.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6418459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.565133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3925360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa26e…4b8fbacked Over57c45.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c40.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6210747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…9a96backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201877.8%14 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+74.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under44c37.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Over55c34.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.555565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over55c31.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3712451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over56c28.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.597048.6%34 W · 36 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.