WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ff65965f5b69594f7769ed62f502abfdd86e5b07ac22660a5ab7fab7ad5b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 57c | 2,469$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.48 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 1,857$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.35 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 41c | 1,550$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.6 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 1,482$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.97 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 1,452$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.55 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 1,360$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.14 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,145$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.08 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 915.19$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.66 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 54c | 485.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 450$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 44c | 143.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 27c | 127.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 56c | 112.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 44c | 80.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 56c | 72.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 66.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Under | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 44c | 58.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 59c | 30.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 44c | 22.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 60c | 22.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 61c | 19.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Under | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 72c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.