WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1223df781a87a2ecff015c90173b6e7176a4f05e8a7ef918ede5cc3487a0926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 325,984$172,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,729.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 47c | 120,006$56,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,603 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 57c | 13,500$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.1 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 20c | 5,423$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.46 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 3,772$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.06 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 3,085$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.15 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 2,315$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.39 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 1,690$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 1,277$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.79 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…9c3cbacked Over | 55c | 1,013$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 924.53$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 552$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…e599backed Under | 60c | 506.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Under | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 42c | 426.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 54c | 401.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 51c | 344.44$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 286.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…d56abacked Over | 43c | 264.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Over | 20c | 226.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 206.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 52c | 192.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 137.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 77c | 124.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 49c | 113.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…6ca0backed Under | 75c | 97.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 20c | 96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 81.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 51c | 78.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Over | 46c | 70.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Over | 61c | 61.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 51.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 48c | 47.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Under | 49c | 46.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 48c | 45.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 44.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…b564backed Under | 53c | 41.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 36.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 65c | 35.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 33.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 31.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…8977backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 49c | 27.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Under | 52c | 26.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 49c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 49c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 52c | 22.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 60c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.