WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2aafe6d01bde64df4118a2c01c468b0459f6d29020f68e68600ea8322847503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Toronto Tempo | 8c | 1,506$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 76c | 1,049$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 876.94$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.93 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 876.94$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.93 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 592.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.14 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 536.81$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.96 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…9c3cbacked Toronto Tempo | 66c | 533.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 472.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.76 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 380.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 265.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 33c | 223.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 220.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 201.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 150.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 39c | 148.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo | 22c | 146.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 102.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 90.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Toronto Tempo | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 78c | 85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 63c | 46.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 40.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 37.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 26.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Atlanta Dream | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Atlanta Dream | 80c | 24.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f93fbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.