Fifa International · resolved market
Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339b5c236c1c4a109bfe550610d613869235a580f73abd43d95dd4acff5de22b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 74c | 1,835$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.57 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,069$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 26c | 781.01$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 497.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 438.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 6c | 289.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 76c | 286.02$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 29c | 233.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 30c | 221.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 161.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 26c | 152.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 100.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…ace0backed Yes | 31c | 83.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 52c | 63.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 32c | 36.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 32.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…bf8bbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 21.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw?this page
- Will Haiti win on 2026-03-27?No won
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.