Fifa International · resolved market
Will Haiti win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85762c56466b6685ad6567aac22907edefa5e800f93505b121252d108540f0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 21c | 411.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 24c | 410.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 17c | 390.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 19c | 385.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 76c | 370.31$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…caa0backed Yes | 22c | 281.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 70c | 271.13$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes | 24c | 206.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Yes | 7c | 154.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 112.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 27c | 103.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 100.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 26c | 94.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 88.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 87.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 78c | 81.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 65.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…81a5backed Yes | 23c | 56.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb712…7bf2backed Yes | 18c | 56.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 78c | 55.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 34c | 50.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 23c | 48.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 45.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…29c1backed Yes | 23c | 44.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 39.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 37.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 78c | 31.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…e458backed Yes | 33c | 30.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 75c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…97a0backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Haiti win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw?No won
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.