Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7829dfa1a73e6cb949f8028c965d8125a974d997016fff0ef19dbe51bfe6f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 1,294$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.99 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…9d08backed Yes | 37c | 810.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 800.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…76b7backed Yes | 25c | 694.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 456.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 454.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 445.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 68c | 284.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 31c | 216.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 200.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 77c | 172$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 37c | 156.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 155.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 38c | 135.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 62c | 117.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 31c | 75.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 67.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed No | 49c | 62.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 43.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 41.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Yes | 32c | 41.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 30c | 34.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 49c | 25.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…961abacked No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt end in a draw?this page
- Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.