Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f68af2eb5ca806bbb3f5f4d5245dccb092a1f67852b3c12928f53fb1bb5507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 6c | 7,084$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.21 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 63c | 3,209$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.33 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,147$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 38c | 1,208$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 60c | 966$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.6 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 753.08$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.94 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 608.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 33c | 547.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 75c | 496$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 427.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 36c | 353$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 60c | 335.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 327$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 38c | 304.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 271.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 165$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked No | 63c | 159.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 159.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 63c | 157.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 142$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 63c | 137.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 107.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 14c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 62c | 86.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…e2d0backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 34c | 58.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 51.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 33c | 46.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 41.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Yes | 33c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 39c | 36.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 66c | 35.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 38c | 33.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…e058backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 66c | 30.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 66c | 28.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 66c | 28.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 80c | 26.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 64c | 25.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 59c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 66c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 66c | 19.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 67c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.