Fifa International · resolved market
Will San Marino vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4775774f7025ab14661911914b89455ee667d24081c240805b8041e6fb7fc762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 1,018$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.9 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 986.84$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.74 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 948.86$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 577.62$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 13c | 487.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 442.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 32c | 418.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 14c | 374.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 11c | 335.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 311.21$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 24c | 205$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 63c | 164.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 11c | 129.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 40c | 121.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 118.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 12c | 114.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 14c | 99.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…339fbacked Yes | 20c | 99.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 44c | 64.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Yes | 33c | 61.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 56.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 24c | 52.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 30c | 51.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 62c | 45.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?this page
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
- Will San Marino win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.