Fifa International · resolved market
Will San Marino win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd7e12f6b68e3eec67c4e1f0071401766b287120050d925e97057a0f4c1092b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 7c | 3,621$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 7c | 3,198$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 8c | 1,932$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 1,315$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,109$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.77 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 5c | 837.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 832.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 764.29$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…459cbacked Yes | 14c | 696.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 2c | 689.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 18c | 656$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 13c | 621.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 576.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 569.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 6c | 500.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed No | 76c | 499.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 73c | 459.2$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Yes | 7c | 429.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 426$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 14c | 417.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 378$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 357.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Yes | 41c | 330.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 8c | 313.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed No | 76c | 264.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 245.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 33c | 187.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 11c | 183.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…a903backed Yes | 7c | 175.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 24c | 158.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 32c | 157.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…caa0backed Yes | 10c | 155.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5e…1582backed Yes | 11c | 149.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 30c | 117.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…91fdbacked Yes | 10c | 107.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 12c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…99d4backed Yes | 12c | 103.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 20c | 91.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 24c | 86.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Yes | 24c | 82.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes | 24c | 74.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…cd54backed No | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…f95bbacked Yes | 22c | 72.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 69c | 65.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 73c | 56.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 50.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 75c | 49.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…70aebacked Yes | 22c | 49.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 78c | 42.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…ef2fbacked Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 31c | 37.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…5adebacked Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…ddd5backed No | 80c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 79c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
- Will San Marino vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.