Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1f3b658183b93b051e9b7b6243e9b1ab674bb88105b5fc3bf8a868a026fd15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 1,858$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.88 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 78c | 1,436$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 47c | 1,377$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.52 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 976.04$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked Yes | 48c | 627.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 560.45$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 457.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 437.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.16 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 249.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 220.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 176.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 49c | 168.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 144.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes | 43c | 143.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 135.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 31c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 50c | 70.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 31c | 57.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 52.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 22c | 50.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 47.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 48c | 46.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 47c | 35.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 48c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 41c | 26.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 46c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 45c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 45c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed No | 59c | 22.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 79c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.