La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a281a2eab88fdeb063570e6ee07325995fe54a717e8658743e04c7c4119ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,803$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 1,814$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.49 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,383$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 1,228$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 72c | 986.72$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.44 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 31c | 790$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 47c | 765.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 53c | 765$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 62c | 542.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.46 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 47c | 510.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.3 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…060abacked Yes | 64c | 467.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 463.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 35c | 422.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 51c | 384.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 23c | 382.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.31 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 371.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 363.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 28c | 343.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.62 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 45c | 288.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 31c | 282.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 56c | 201.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 198.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 198.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 54c | 176.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 175$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 171.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 164.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 37c | 159$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 34c | 145$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 47c | 132.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 130.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 126.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 57c | 119.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 109.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 38c | 101.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 101.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 60c | 97.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 69c | 86.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 73.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…961abacked No | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 70.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 64.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed No | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 40c | 59.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 57.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 69c | 55.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 32c | 50.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 47.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 63c | 46.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 45.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 55c | 42.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 41.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Yes | 62c | 41.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed No | 29c | 38.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…de7cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 55c | 36.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 33c | 30.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…0228backed Yes | 63c | 30.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked No | 55c | 29.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 36c | 28.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 55c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 58c | 21.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed No | 70c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Yes | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 68c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…a157backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.