Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Barça eSports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f70d51288e53601baff5187ba884881bae509588a893563021990092276f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, Otakar Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Barça eSports | 78c | 4,149$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.8 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Otakar Esports | 20c | 3,161$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.71 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Otakar Esports | 22c | 1,866$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Otakar Esports | 21c | 891.37$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Barça eSports | 75c | 743.48$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 1,752 | 46.2%810 W · 942 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Otakar Esports | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Otakar Esports | 26c | 495.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 1,434 | 51.1%733 W · 701 L | +48.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Barça eSports | 71c | 336.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Barça eSports | 68c | 301.13$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Otakar Esports | 42c | 233.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…2a74backed Barça eSports | 77c | 226.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Barça eSports | 67c | 211.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Otakar Esports | 17c | 159.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3d45backed Otakar Esports | 9c | 151.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Otakar Esports | 40c | 145.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1,396 | 47.3%661 W · 735 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…b735backed Barça eSports | 78c | 143.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Otakar Esports | 18c | 122.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Barça eSports | 70c | 108.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Barça eSports | 66c | 102.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Otakar Esports | 32c | 90.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,006 | 45.9%462 W · 544 L | -28.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Otakar Esports | 28c | 86.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Otakar Esports | 26c | 84.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Otakar Esports | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Otakar Esports | 29c | 70.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Barça eSports | 67c | 69.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Otakar Esports | 34c | 64.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,517 | 46.6%707 W · 810 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Barça eSports | 55c | 62.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 413 | 55.2%228 W · 185 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Barça eSports | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Otakar Esports | 31c | 54.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Otakar Esports | 30c | 53.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Otakar Esports | 34c | 50.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Barça eSports | 75c | 49.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Barça eSports | 76c | 48.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,619 | 37.5%607 W · 1,012 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Barça eSports | 62c | 44.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Otakar Esports | 33c | 40.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Barça eSports | 78c | 27.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Barça eSports | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Barça eSports | 61c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Barça eSports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Barça eSports | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Barça eSports | 77c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs Otakar Esports - Map 1 WinnerBarça eSports won
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs Otakar Esports - Map 2 WinnerOtakar Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.