NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3361a9aa17af283fe9949839aa9cf108a6ec532164c21cafea40fcd53d934b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 38c | 5,104$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.02 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Sabres | 37c | 2,870$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.92 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bruins | 62c | 2,690$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.11 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Sabres | 38c | 1,964$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.17 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bruins | 62c | 1,835$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.46 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 63c | 1,698$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.37 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bruins | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.06 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Bruins | 62c | 999.96$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Bruins | 63c | 940.55$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 37c | 917.39$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.43 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Bruins | 63c | 876.89$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Sabres | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bruins | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Sabres | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Bruins | 63c | 738.2$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Bruins | 62c | 538.45$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Sabres | 38c | 506.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Bruins | 63c | 336.56$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Sabres | 37c | 320.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bruins | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Sabres | 33c | 278$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Bruins | 63c | 269.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 67c | 245.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Sabres | 38c | 240.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 62c | 183.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Bruins | 63c | 181.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 38c | 159.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Bruins | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Bruins | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Sabres | 36c | 131.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 63c | 109.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Sabres | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bruins | 64c | 99.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Sabres | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 37c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 29c | 72.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…b26fbacked Bruins | 63c | 63.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…e339backed Sabres | 37c | 59.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Bruins | 63c | 45.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…adb6backed Bruins | 63c | 45.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sabres | 42c | 43.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Bruins | 58c | 40.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Bruins | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Bruins | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Bruins | 64c | 31.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bruins | 65c | 31.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Sabres | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…89e5backed Bruins | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Bruins | 64c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-2.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Bruins (-3.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.