NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe026b0516ff701e474b48dd9c3f944e7938e13fe8d5fe6c92f367772fe890bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 10,747$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.21 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 8,513$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.96 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 5,270$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.35 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,007$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.78 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,960$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 841.15$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.77 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 399.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 56c | 297.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 67c | 277.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Over | 40c | 248.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 232$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 30c | 200.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 59c | 178.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 43c | 170.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 71c | 168.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 71c | 155.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 23c | 150.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 150.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Over | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 35c | 110.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 101.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 44c | 76.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 43c | 73.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 45c | 66.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 57c | 65.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 26c | 65.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Under | 53c | 64.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 42c | 61.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 42c | 61.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Over | 40c | 60.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 43c | 60.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 39c | 58.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 32c | 57.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 56c | 51.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 28c | 50.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Under | 60c | 40.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 39.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 29c | 37.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 71c | 37.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 56c | 26.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 25.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 56c | 19.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-2.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Bruins (-3.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.