TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc974…b33bbacked Under55c9,053$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.0910146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over46c7,505$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.7851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under54c6,486$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.5218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over45c5,555$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7133151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over44c4,483$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.3151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over45c3,707$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.053237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c2,917$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.8141842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over71c2,908$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.577047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c2,865$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.692,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over78c1,837$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.442,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under54c1,296$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.369038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under53c1,187$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.0326154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c1,173$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.481,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c1,038$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.981,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.051546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under21c931.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.1933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under22c876.16$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.6515051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Under54c555.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under53c545.72$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under54c434.78$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under54c434$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6411833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under53c372.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1810846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Under55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.229846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.562857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Under55c291.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3616554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Under55c264.09$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Over31c241.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.82045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed Over45c237.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under22c225.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6316054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c214.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over37c205.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6614045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under60c190.59$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1215560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c181.66$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed Under55c176.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+87.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over45c173$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under66c172.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.973,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c150.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.282962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Over46c145.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.764936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ddd…adb6backed Over45c125.71$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under22c117.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.996256.5%35 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.798053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7928542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under61c96.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7541050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c87.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over77c87.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7721355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Over51c85.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c73.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over47c68.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9510033%33 W · 67 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf49f…98c8backed Under20c66.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Over46c62.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under23c62.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.866456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under55c61.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8633756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.165721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c59.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4945151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under55c54.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8821253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over23c52.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under22c51.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4519153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Over28c51.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4934…cca1backed Under54c50.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.199158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under29c49.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.165147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over45c48.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7618941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over52c47.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7712357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Under55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.97363%46 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d4…7fc9backed Under56c41.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.514100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under56c39.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7072…d945backed Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0916…78fbbacked Under56c35.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c32.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.632,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over58c32.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7514855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…4b62backed Under56c31.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Over46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5119548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf2…3932backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over71c29.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4412045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under56c29.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9533363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under56c28.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.394856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over52c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f5a…669bbacked Under48c21.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Under54c20.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.272263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under67c19.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.562544%11 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfb9…70f8backed Under56c19.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under69c19.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.892236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under54c19.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.818562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.