Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdaacd2b7d8e1ecd98a98c0310ae72d4b5052b85f7a30e7771299e46e518665d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,211$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 64c | 945.83$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.73 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 942.44$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 22c | 788.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e80cbacked Yes | 13c | 504.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 433.06$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes | 39c | 360.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +238.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 359.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 331.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…bb51backed No | 80c | 329.42$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 30c | 260.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 211.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 207.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 15c | 183.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…d9edbacked Yes | 41c | 181.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 20c | 167.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 161.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 67c | 149.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 60c | 139$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 37c | 136.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 132.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 34c | 124.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 11c | 115.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…fd4ebacked Yes | 26c | 113.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 25c | 106.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…aa48backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 33c | 100.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…2b5dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 21c | 98.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 97.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 33c | 95.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 30c | 95.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 31c | 85.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 71c | 76.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…7562backed Yes | 34c | 76.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 25c | 76.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a30ebacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 17c | 75.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 74.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 72.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 21c | 71.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 31c | 70.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 30c | 70.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 65c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…c053backed Yes | 19c | 62.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed No | 69c | 60.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 36c | 57.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 55.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 22c | 53.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Yes | 36c | 50.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3004…3df7backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…55fbbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…92e0backed Yes | 36c | 49.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 22c | 46.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed No | 68c | 43.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5fadbacked Yes | 40c | 41.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…8a11backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 62c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 40c | 26.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 62c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…5115backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…493cbacked No | 74c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 78c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8241…f368backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed No | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.