TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee5a…55fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$17.61
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+255.8%+$35.95
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$27.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$47.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$212
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.