Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188d3dbe30ed95446f24453565e2634fbaaef9cf68c3165ae089d8c3e1125d02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 1,447$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,075$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 3c | 870.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 9c | 601.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 30c | 482.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked Yes | 4c | 335$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 60c | 282.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 12c | 241.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 223.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 8c | 214.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…0822backed Yes | 33c | 210.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed No | 68c | 210.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 193.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…cfe9backed Yes | 36c | 191.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 187.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 31c | 183.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 32c | 161.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 34c | 150.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…e220backed Yes | 33c | 133.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…4e57backed No | 70c | 133$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…bfd5backed Yes | 37c | 120.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…b05ebacked Yes | 26c | 119.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 115.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…0a52backed Yes | 41c | 115.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 11c | 114.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 47c | 106.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 74c | 103.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…ff3ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 74c | 90.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 89.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 43c | 83.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 25c | 82.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 16c | 76.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 32c | 75.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 73.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 31c | 72.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 24c | 63.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…2bbfbacked Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 26c | 56.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 55.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 72c | 54.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…58cebacked No | 73c | 54.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…55fbbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…513dbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 27c | 47.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…1649backed No | 75c | 46.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 73c | 44.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 40c | 44.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 54c | 44.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 43.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed Yes | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 42.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 40.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 65c | 38.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…2eeebacked No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 36c | 34.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 32.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 31.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa29…ec42backed No | 75c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 72c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…5308backed No | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…f6dfbacked No | 75c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…f095backed No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…c28cbacked No | 74c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…c733backed No | 75c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…337abacked No | 73c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…4477backed No | 67c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…9e55backed No | 74c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…d8cdbacked No | 75c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.