Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ed8ebe121dc8cbfba244978c0f5959267f9b99718be95650f70079b24fa13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,054$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 40c | 499.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 52c | 475.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 433$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 379.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 63c | 360.19$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 55c | 319.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 36c | 300.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 300.19$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 288.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 53c | 288.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 59c | 249.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 51c | 245.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 238$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 55c | 237.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 37c | 228.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 66c | 226.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 48c | 214.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 38c | 204$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 37c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 191.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 60c | 189.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 58c | 187.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 38c | 184.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 41c | 184.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 53c | 179.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 177.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 40c | 167.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 161.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 36c | 161.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 52c | 152.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 149.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 42c | 145.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 53c | 145.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 69c | 144.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 141.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 141.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 36c | 139.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 137.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 63c | 137.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 43c | 134$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 56c | 132.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 48c | 128.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 128.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 73c | 117.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 45c | 112.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 75c | 111$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 46c | 110.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 110.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 60c | 110.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 57c | 106.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…3033backed Yes | 37c | 105.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed No | 64c | 104.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 46c | 102.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 52c | 102.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 101.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 97.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 53c | 97.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 91.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 63c | 88.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 60c | 83.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…5eb2backed Yes | 74c | 81.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 29c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 76.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…a457backed Yes | 47c | 75.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 49c | 71.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 70.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 37c | 67.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 61c | 67.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…ef91backed No | 54c | 65.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed Yes | 47c | 65.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 35c | 64.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…7718backed Yes | 40c | 63.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 31c | 59.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 46c | 59.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 59.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 74c | 58.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…ffa6backed Yes | 60c | 58.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 69c | 54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6b3fbacked Yes | 40c | 52.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 52.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 67c | 51.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 53c | 51.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 48c | 51.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.