Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dfab358f723cd4685fd429be43cdd8a57bc57864e83ea06ea83ba7fe1abf957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 823.71$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.46 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 17c | 764.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.56 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 46c | 631.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 11c | 599.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.98 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 16c | 565.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.31 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 13c | 514.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.26 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 14c | 499.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 481.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.52 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…2129backed No | 2c | 449$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 55c | 402.45$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 392.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 17c | 359.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 28c | 340.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.91 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 15c | 332.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.71 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 15c | 330.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 45c | 321.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 20c | 317.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 309$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 10c | 308.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 305.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 13c | 305.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 13c | 303.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 77c | 293.82$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 26c | 291.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 77c | 260.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 257.34$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 60c | 238.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 20c | 204.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 192$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 15c | 186.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 182$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…d341backed No | 79c | 177.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 177.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 76c | 175.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 17c | 173.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.58 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 162.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 32c | 156.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 57c | 151.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 13c | 150.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 11c | 149.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 60c | 139.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 15c | 127.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 20c | 125.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 19c | 125.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 122.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 9c | 121.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 73c | 114.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed Yes | 66c | 112.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 21c | 110.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 71c | 110.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 26c | 105.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 16c | 102.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 15c | 101.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…c7edbacked Yes | 17c | 101$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 10c | 100.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…3488backed Yes | 14c | 98.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 20c | 95.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 37c | 95.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 16c | 94.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 21c | 92.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 31c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 14c | 89.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 71c | 87.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 70c | 85.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 16c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 17c | 74.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…7718backed Yes | 17c | 72.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 15c | 71.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1674backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 25c | 48.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 46c | 47.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 57c | 43.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 66c | 42.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 72c | 33.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 68c | 33.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 54c | 25.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…ca6fbacked Yes | 75c | 22.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 54c | 18.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.