Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e4de2cd6b0e612f57e65699d8378d1100a8cd8933b1730bc1543444a8375917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 0c | 17,131$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…aa75backed Yes | 33c | 1,006$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.97 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 41c | 500.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 25c | 419.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed No | 61c | 349.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 64c | 319.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 35c | 301.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 40c | 269$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 268.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 267.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 79c | 209.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 204.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 65c | 201.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 39c | 199.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 40c | 199.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 186.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 42c | 180.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 68c | 175.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 165$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 64c | 161.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 161$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 63c | 157.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 37c | 156.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 58c | 154.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 69c | 153.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 66c | 152.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 35c | 151.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 32c | 139.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 126.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 122.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 122.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 68c | 122.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 119$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 39c | 114.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 35c | 112.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 105.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 105.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 38c | 101.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 43c | 96.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 41c | 93.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 92.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 90.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 38c | 77.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 73.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 73.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 64c | 72.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 62c | 70.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 68.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 76c | 66.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 36c | 66.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 65.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 65.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 36c | 59.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 38c | 59.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 55.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 42c | 55.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…c442backed Yes | 36c | 54.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 57c | 52.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 51.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 41c | 49.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…2868backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed Yes | 33c | 43.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Yes | 38c | 43.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 39.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 39.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 65c | 38.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 38c | 38.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 60c | 38.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 38.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 43c | 38.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 60c | 38.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 33c | 36.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 37c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 37c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b4…6bb9backed No | 63c | 36.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 64c | 34.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 77c | 33.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 32.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…a260backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 65c | 31.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.