Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078eb5486abea02965e717de09c9e841e1da5243487dac8380ed8a77cdd45b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 6c | 2,637$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 23c | 1,617$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.9 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 29c | 1,340$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.17 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,318$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 23c | 1,185$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.85 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 30c | 1,135$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,107$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 10c | 1,093$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 18c | 994.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 886.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 7c | 878.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 17c | 760.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 700.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 29c | 685.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 10c | 671.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 74c | 453.71$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 18c | 418$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 13c | 411.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 30c | 408.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 379.83$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 24c | 366.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 348$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…66f8backed Yes | 30c | 333.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…4d82backed Yes | 20c | 291.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 271.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 21c | 270$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 17c | 267.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 50c | 260.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 11c | 253.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 22c | 240.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 36c | 224.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 14c | 220.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 6c | 217.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…d68ebacked No | 76c | 215.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 208.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…f74fbacked Yes | 28c | 196.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…18c7backed Yes | 22c | 191.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…2295backed Yes | 28c | 179.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…41e5backed No | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 7c | 155.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 18c | 144.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 73c | 144$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 49c | 137.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 19c | 131.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 17c | 129.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…5a64backed Yes | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 16c | 126.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…f86bbacked Yes | 28c | 126.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 26c | 123.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 60c | 121.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed Yes | 25c | 120.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 71c | 119.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked No | 73c | 117.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 76c | 116.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 113.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 14c | 112.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 112.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 31c | 111.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…6998backed Yes | 20c | 99.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 25c | 99.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 97.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 21c | 97.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 18c | 93.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 21c | 93.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 23c | 83.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 28c | 80.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 27c | 73.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…87aebacked Yes | 15c | 73.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…715cbacked No | 59c | 71.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 28c | 70.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…8190backed No | 80c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 22c | 67.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 18c | 66.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 23c | 63.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd630…28edbacked Yes | 24c | 61.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 25c | 58.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 68c | 55.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 59c | 54.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…1bc1backed No | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…d84abacked No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 51.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…5a62backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…b31ebacked Yes | 25c | 48.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 34c | 47.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.