Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a5ed3e6fb1539d1e945f4eecf09687b6fd572e45cb64bc667a0576d5ff7c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,119$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 15c | 2,691$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.94 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 2,367$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 2,141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 14c | 1,639$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,117$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,031$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 12c | 934.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 15c | 758.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 21c | 659.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 641.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 9c | 611.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 601.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 594$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 77c | 501.17$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 10c | 470$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 417.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…41e5backed No | 80c | 381.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…4d82backed Yes | 26c | 367.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…0788backed Yes | 19c | 326.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 21c | 293.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 231.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 11c | 230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 15c | 214.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 19c | 204.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 202.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 73c | 183.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 77c | 176.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 151.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…a8a2backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 148.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 136.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 133$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 17c | 129.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 21c | 129.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 21c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 119.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 17c | 117.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 18c | 117.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed Yes | 26c | 113.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…6964backed Yes | 21c | 111.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…a832backed Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…f022backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…6998backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…9c96backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 25c | 99.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 79c | 98.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 97.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 13c | 91.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 84.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…f74fbacked Yes | 22c | 81.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 24c | 79.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 17c | 77.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 79c | 76.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…cfe2backed Yes | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 21c | 73.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a5e6backed Yes | 21c | 59.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…6140backed Yes | 27c | 56.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…8605backed No | 77c | 51.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 75c | 49.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 27c | 48.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 79c | 48.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 35.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked No | 76c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…2440backed No | 71c | 31.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 76c | 30.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 74c | 30.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…bdbfbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…99f3backed No | 77c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 75c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 76c | 23.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…6604backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…2d36backed No | 80c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…0799backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…ef82backed No | 71c | 14.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 179 | 78.8%141 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…1b31backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +11.8wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…2325backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…dadabacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.