Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcecf501010625eeb09a21ca3e4ae728fa157af60117899c08b8dcb8fa4d7e94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 40c | 1,410$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.74 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…c968backed No | 1c | 1,393$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 1,243$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 23c | 1,226$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.59 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,070$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.91 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 14c | 1,009$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.66 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 76c | 993$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 916.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.29 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 19c | 860.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.19 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 37c | 841.23$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.46 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 791.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 707.62$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.59 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 24c | 678.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 622.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 57c | 602.67$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 40c | 534.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.95 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 79c | 531.65$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 76c | 531.42$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 33c | 506.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 65c | 505.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 15c | 407$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 25c | 400.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 40c | 385.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 7c | 366.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 363.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…4d82backed Yes | 16c | 357.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 355.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…18c7backed Yes | 17c | 351.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed Yes | 15c | 333.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.3 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 312.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 9c | 304.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 12c | 304.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.43 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 261.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 21c | 243.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 41c | 230.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 228.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 8c | 226.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…f74fbacked Yes | 26c | 209.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 208.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 17c | 203.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 194.51$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 30c | 185.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 63c | 179.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 175.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed No | 41c | 175$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 17c | 164.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 22c | 151.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 9c | 150.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 30c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 19c | 144.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Yes | 72c | 144.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 27c | 141.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 71c | 138.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked No | 50c | 137.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 19c | 134.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 24c | 133.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 46c | 128.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 21c | 124.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 119.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 30c | 117.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 71c | 116.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…6170backed No | 71c | 115.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…29febacked Yes | 23c | 112$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 68c | 111.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…d9c1backed Yes | 22c | 111.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 18c | 105.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…6998backed Yes | 15c | 101.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 36c | 100.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 77c | 97.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 21c | 96.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…063fbacked Yes | 15c | 94.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 22c | 90.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 17c | 89.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…c12abacked Yes | 22c | 89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 29c | 85.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 49c | 81.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…38a5backed No | 13c | 79.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…1b6ebacked No | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 22c | 73.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 14c | 70.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 70.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 19c | 69.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…7c6cbacked Yes | 42c | 66.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 22c | 66.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…af8bbacked No | 35c | 61.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 60.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 20c | 55.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.