Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x214c6f35a48eea62e6d804f4f294cffc78041100249a084fac497fa0e2cac133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 523.63$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 396.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 279.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 253.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 209.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 184.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked No | 44c | 177.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Yes | 52c | 95.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 78.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 42.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 56c | 32.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…e34abacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.