Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b816f5e7344eb69af4ae93d90775e3b958df5f85eb6ca98e92af3ab1cbdfcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,289$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked Yes | 4c | 1,148$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…163ebacked Yes | 2c | 919.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…f41ebacked Yes | 4c | 714.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 30c | 617.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 7c | 557.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 485.34$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 70c | 337.07$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 61c | 261.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 22c | 231.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 203$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 183.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…bd15backed No | 69c | 160.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ae…546cbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 144.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 68c | 129.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 123.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed Yes | 30c | 122.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…02d9backed No | 66c | 110.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 9c | 110.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 108.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…e8f2backed Yes | 28c | 108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 61c | 89.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 38c | 85.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…b385backed Yes | 38c | 85.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 28c | 78.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 61c | 77.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 17c | 77.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…6523backed Yes | 30c | 70.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…3b47backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed No | 63c | 68.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 22c | 68.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 25c | 66.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 71c | 66.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…87b2backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 66c | 59.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 72c | 59.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 26c | 58.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b4bebacked No | 73c | 57.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 69c | 53.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 53.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 42c | 46.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…a744backed Yes | 32c | 43.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…5da1backed No | 68c | 43.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…577dbacked Yes | 35c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 64c | 38.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 38.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 80c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 31c | 36.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…ae9bbacked No | 62c | 35.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…abf2backed Yes | 36c | 34.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…7d73backed Yes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 60c | 27.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 68c | 26.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 47c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 70c | 23.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 73c | 22.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 78c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…d440backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 71c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 69c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.