World Politics · resolved market
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0646da8bcb4358bbd2f1f0e85f236ad8ea1091a0eeb4a8db78cd036fbc3c8dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7417…73e1backed No | 4c | 45,220$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 7c | 10,409$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 6c | 9,870$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.98 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 4c | 7,960$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.51 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…859ebacked No | 3c | 7,331$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2d…9c37backed No | 3c | 7,173$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 5,873$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 5,865$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.43 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 3,391$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 4c | 3,225$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 2,630$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…7132backed No | 9c | 2,491$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 5c | 2,226$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 7c | 2,129$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 1,901$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 6c | 1,740$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 7c | 1,482$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…2d36backed No | 7c | 1,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 6c | 1,232$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 1,217$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 3c | 1,102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 6c | 1,008$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0903…2736backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 6c | 992.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 8c | 931.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 6c | 907.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…1fd0backed No | 6c | 854.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 5c | 662.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…34bdbacked No | 10c | 650$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 6c | 571.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 5c | 552.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 6c | 524.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 5c | 515.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked No | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 8c | 478$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 7c | 473.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 6c | 459.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 4c | 432.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 5c | 401.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 6c | 399.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 11c | 388.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…aedfbacked No | 6c | 327.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 290.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 6c | 270$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…e694backed No | 19c | 258.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 10c | 258$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 7c | 253.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…43bfbacked No | 7c | 210.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 5c | 207.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 7c | 198.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 193.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked No | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 10c | 123$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed No | 9c | 120.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 19c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?this page
- Will Imperium Europa win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will Momentum win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.