World Politics · resolved market
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa736a3d3de247f00d620a67e2a97f08ae0d4b6de03a35b050e076d21c1db0224
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc90d…effabacked Yes | 7c | 15,414$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…3b95backed Yes | 8c | 13,191$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…bdeabacked Yes | 6c | 9,435$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e65…33e4backed Yes | 9c | 6,754$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2d…9c37backed Yes | 4c | 5,172$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…96babacked Yes | 7c | 4,647$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…3109backed Yes | 6c | 3,846$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…f16cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,928$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 5c | 2,494$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…87ecbacked Yes | 9c | 2,492$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa56…b2c7backed Yes | 8c | 2,365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…6262backed Yes | 5c | 2,212$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…f24dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,063$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…2506backed Yes | 10c | 2,059$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…2d0dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,861$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321b…f9bbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,750$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…58f4backed Yes | 9c | 1,744$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…89e6backed Yes | 7c | 1,490$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b46cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,467$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…7aacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,451$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…320abacked Yes | 5c | 1,434$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…e3febacked Yes | 8c | 1,410$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1b87backed Yes | 8c | 1,296$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…221ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,258$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…a0cdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…74d4backed Yes | 5c | 1,168$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…c3a1backed Yes | 8c | 1,151$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…cfedbacked Yes | 6c | 1,106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…6075backed Yes | 6c | 1,053$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…5bbcbacked Yes | 5c | 979.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…858fbacked Yes | 6c | 907.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…83c9backed Yes | 7c | 851.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…9379backed Yes | 6c | 823.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485b…5bb6backed Yes | 7c | 797.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 3c | 695.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…3ff7backed Yes | 3c | 692.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…34bdbacked Yes | 6c | 656.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8beb…cf12backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…660dbacked Yes | 9c | 608.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…78e5backed Yes | 9c | 598.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…c9c3backed Yes | 5c | 569.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…4de5backed Yes | 9c | 559.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dec…9355backed Yes | 7c | 554.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 4c | 548.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5cc3backed Yes | 6c | 503.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 493.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 443.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…44c9backed Yes | 5c | 439.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes | 7c | 394.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…dfe4backed Yes | 8c | 382.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…c60bbacked Yes | 7c | 363.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 363.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…1355backed Yes | 6c | 351.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 326.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…a85ebacked Yes | 3c | 324.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…e694backed Yes | 15c | 322.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…04f7backed Yes | 7c | 310.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…f5acbacked Yes | 7c | 302.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…3c3dbacked Yes | 10c | 300.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…aad6backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 282$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…7949backed Yes | 6c | 271.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…338bbacked Yes | 9c | 193.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d0…1ed7backed Yes | 5c | 192.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4194…5c98backed Yes | 19c | 124.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82c…2fa1backed No | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?this page
- Will Imperium Europa win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes won
- Will Momentum win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.