Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee33542f7ef38550357487cd7c336af9b52ae977ff9e515be4d298f87e9e18f9

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,483 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes	0c	10,042$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	346	24.3%84 W · 262 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	2,277$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	3,366	31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L	-34.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b8…1c88backed Yes	11c	1,662$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	2c	1,282$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	349	18.9%66 W · 283 L	+18.7wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x272e…6e99backed Yes	4c	783.95$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.12	167	24.6%41 W · 126 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes	9c	618.5$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.68	332	32.8%109 W · 223 L	+18.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf325…f8e0backed No	60c	533.42$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.59	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5948…56cbbacked Yes	8c	520.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	159	23.3%37 W · 122 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd55b…a064backed Yes	13c	490.09$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	80c	475.63$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.95	4,104	56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5868…64c8backed Yes	19c	465.89$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	10c	400$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.36	4,496	19.6%882 W · 3,614 L	+49.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	72c	394.45$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.59	8,162	49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L	+269.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b13…62d3backed Yes	35c	364.37$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	1,052	31.2%328 W · 724 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1775…85b0backed Yes	23c	323.49$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.91	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+25.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ce3…4291backed Yes	10c	278.22$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	2,165	23.8%516 W · 1,649 L	+83.8wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed Yes	14c	269.87$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.63	3,048	40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L	-121.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb5…e19cbacked Yes	24c	237.98$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.19	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	-10.8wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc09…88edbacked Yes	33c	223.94$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.64	566	27.7%157 W · 409 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	13c	220.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	7,148	9.3%666 W · 6,482 L	-1,105.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	10c	216.84$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	3,474	33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L	-175.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8117…9832backed Yes	46c	209.85$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fec…bc11backed Yes	10c	204.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf35…71e3backed Yes	10c	203.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+114.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes	5c	202.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	1,275	36.5%465 W · 810 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…f8ecbacked Yes	25c	199.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf132…c706backed Yes	19c	198.4$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.76	308	13.6%42 W · 266 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Yes	13c	171.53$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	1,787	25.7%460 W · 1,327 L	+132.5wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	11c	162.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	4,347	29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L	+19.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes	9c	160.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc55…522bbacked Yes	35c	152.63$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.9	178	31.5%56 W · 122 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb58d…b858backed Yes	9c	149.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30cb…63bcbacked Yes	14c	140.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…32a3backed Yes	19c	139.54$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d9…eae4backed Yes	10c	133$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a50…6c35backed Yes	17c	117.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes	19c	116.95$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01aa…3e81backed Yes	13c	114.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0a…c825backed Yes	10c	111.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ea…026dbacked Yes	20c	109.36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d63…5dd1backed No	62c	108.74$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.98	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes	11c	108.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e8…8787backed Yes	21c	108.2$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa70d…63bebacked Yes	9c	108.18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	29c	105.69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.98	5,832	36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L	+211.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5235…43a8backed Yes	11c	105.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfc…c4cebacked Yes	12c	102$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb696…02d9backed No	67c	101.72$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.38	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…1adfbacked No	69c	100.73$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.85	312	62.5%195 W · 117 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes	40c	100.41$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	304	28%85 W · 219 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	13c	100.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	2,823	11.2%316 W · 2,507 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed No	63c	100.03$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.03	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1,322	32.2%426 W · 896 L	-43.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b9…0893backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ed…e634backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes	10c	99.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	673	36.1%243 W · 430 L	-48.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fa5…e683backed Yes	11c	99.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1948…ff2fbacked Yes	15c	92.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Yes	17c	91.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	306	65%199 W · 107 L	+14.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9762…73e0backed Yes	20c	90$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	+10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	15c	84.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	12,498	19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L	-2,667.3wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	26-0.21 edge/pick
0xf73f…ee53backed No	75c	79.38$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	2,950	33.6%992 W · 1,958 L	+9.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc24f…81d3backed No	75c	79.26$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.02	985	71%699 W · 286 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Yes	32c	78.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ac…e6ebbacked Yes	16c	69.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x358b…3722backed Yes	21c	68.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	525	33.1%174 W · 351 L	+21.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaba1…ac85backed No	55c	61.28$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.87	112	59.8%67 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8e…1445backed Yes	37c	60.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2aa…3e28backed Yes	35c	59.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked No	72c	55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6c8f…1181backed Yes	29c	54.42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes	22c	53.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	612	49.5%303 W · 309 L	+30.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	548	67.3%369 W · 179 L	+26.4wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e06…42f0backed Yes	32c	49.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ce…0dc4backed Yes	30c	49.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes	39c	48.58$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	304	42.8%130 W · 174 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d1…019abacked Yes	29c	44.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	255	36.9%94 W · 161 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes	26c	44.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	79c	44$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.02	1,901	55.6%1,057 W · 844 L	+7.7wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Yes	28c	41.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	402	42.5%171 W · 231 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a8…47c1backed No	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	418	45.2%189 W · 229 L	+14.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…c328backed Yes	43c	36.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed No	58c	34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.28	4,525	65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L	-134.0wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdf…09b6backed Yes	34c	32.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	74	68.9%51 W · 23 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	77c	29.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	4,120	60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe33…d3aabacked Yes	39c	27.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4248…60abbacked No	79c	26.47$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.56	2,219	58.7%1,303 W · 916 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…ced4backed No	71c	22.26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.41	958	52.5%503 W · 455 L	+103.2wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03e4…2d3dbacked Yes	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…ba60backed No	74c	18.66$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.89	77	77.9%60 W · 17 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	68cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x904c…4172backed No	73c	18.42$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.92	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f4…1e34backed No	78c	16.66$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.7	1,312	45%590 W · 722 L	+33.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No	79c	16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	4,961	68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L	+65.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?this page
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 13?No won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?No won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?No won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?No won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?No won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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