Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c76419742bf1cb1092af97bfd661b08e6f04e4380f62c2dc455352f001efb15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 4c | 322.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 70c | 241.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 44c | 225.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 225.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 41c | 222.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 46c | 190.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 56c | 161.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 43c | 139.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 138.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed No | 63c | 133.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 39c | 120.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 38c | 114.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…fd78backed Yes | 51c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 108.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…81e5backed No | 65c | 107.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…9f36backed No | 64c | 107$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 34c | 100.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 50c | 99.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 93.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 65c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…9e38backed Yes | 45c | 89.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 55c | 83.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 64c | 81.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 78.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 45c | 75.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…bad9backed No | 70c | 70.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 60c | 66.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 54c | 66.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 59c | 64.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 20c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 69c | 61.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed No | 61c | 60.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 52.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 75c | 50.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 40c | 49.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…ceb0backed No | 60c | 47.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 46c | 45.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0c9cbacked Yes | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 42.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…de0cbacked Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 41.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 59c | 40.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 41c | 38.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 62c | 38.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 33c | 37.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c1…12cebacked Yes | 38c | 35.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 42c | 35.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 46c | 32.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…b8cebacked Yes | 44c | 29.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…aa32backed No | 69c | 28.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 54c | 28.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 59c | 27.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 68c | 27.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 50c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 44c | 22.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 57c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 59c | 22.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 20.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 65c | 19.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.