Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1067b23b81ebcd458d2dfd0e45d31820fb45fee100fa3c30116eb252074028a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 1,121$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.76 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 684.6$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 33c | 646.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.16 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 589$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 533.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.27 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 27c | 473.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 468.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 34c | 467.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 34c | 428.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.33 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 394.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 52c | 393.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 360$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 30c | 350.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 341.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 337.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 71c | 263.06$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed No | 72c | 245.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 79c | 238.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 37c | 224.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 74c | 222.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 42c | 176.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 43c | 176.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 176.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 63c | 173$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 71c | 171.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…75a5backed No | 63c | 163.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 27c | 153.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 40c | 151.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 70c | 150.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 52c | 144.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 143.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 56c | 142.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 40c | 139.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…52d5backed Yes | 17c | 138.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 134.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…3f95backed No | 75c | 133.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 15c | 130.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 28c | 130.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 32c | 127.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 14c | 127.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 10c | 123.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 48c | 121.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 27c | 119.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed Yes | 11c | 113.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 111.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 110.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 13c | 110$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 25c | 109.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 107.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 26c | 107.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 106.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 34c | 104.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…b85dbacked Yes | 44c | 103.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed No | 79c | 101.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 56c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 18c | 98.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 39c | 95.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 19c | 92.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 92.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 91.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 77c | 91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 62c | 90.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 22c | 87.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 13c | 87.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed No | 79c | 86.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 13c | 85.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 83.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 60c | 83.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 54c | 82.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 24c | 81.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 26c | 76.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 18c | 74.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 16c | 74.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…6ae8backed No | 51c | 73.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 35c | 72.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 26c | 70.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 69c | 67.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked No | 75c | 66.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 31c | 63.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 63.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0a…6830backed Yes | 28c | 63.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +135%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 38c | 60.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 79c | 60.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 28c | 60.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 67c | 59.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 72c | 59.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.