Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7daa354016ac04e96cbdde92f018af61b02a6be25babf03192c7d71e0b2d4cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 2c | 3,209$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,272$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…8834backed Yes | 1c | 1,083$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 14c | 1,036$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 11c | 746.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 546.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 15c | 531$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 12c | 434$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 32c | 402.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 73c | 400$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 19c | 364.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 4c | 362.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 15c | 356.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 350.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 11c | 349$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 11c | 329.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 12c | 322.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 15c | 312.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 11c | 306.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 43c | 250.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed No | 60c | 249.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 53c | 245.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 13c | 232.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 5c | 221.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 32c | 212.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 11c | 189.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 186.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 13c | 172.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0a…6830backed No | 66c | 166.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +135%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 157.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 73c | 155.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 147.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 47c | 144.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 40c | 135.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 134.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 21c | 131.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…9fffbacked Yes | 18c | 129.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 127.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 15c | 123.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 15c | 119.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 17c | 108.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 37c | 103.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 102.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 18c | 98.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 69c | 82.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 24c | 75.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 69c | 69.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 38c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…b987backed Yes | 16c | 66.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 16c | 63.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed Yes | 16c | 63.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 57c | 62.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked Yes | 26c | 61.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 20c | 61.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…b518backed No | 71c | 57.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 37c | 55.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…79febacked Yes | 34c | 55.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 31c | 51.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…da08backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 69c | 46.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked No | 73c | 45.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 28c | 39.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 64c | 35.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 46c | 35.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…13babacked Yes | 55c | 34.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 46c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked No | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed No | 51c | 26.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 80c | 26.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 65c | 23.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…bc87backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…eceabacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.