Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e608eb6d0fe25de0549ab3956928926d3a2b219e3feaed59d4c9ef80de99169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 8c | 4,359$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.54 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 2,937$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,050$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 10c | 629.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 2c | 621.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 7c | 593.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…84eebacked Yes | 2c | 542.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2a…9f76backed Yes | 25c | 538.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 4c | 518.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 4c | 509.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 489.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 7c | 483.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed Yes | 30c | 459.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 387.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 347.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 33c | 335.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc14backed Yes | 13c | 324$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6f…ce03backed Yes | 18c | 295.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 17c | 289.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 5c | 286.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 80c | 271.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 19c | 257.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 4c | 249.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 236.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 24c | 235.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 16c | 225.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 23c | 222.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 204.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 9c | 190.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 21c | 189$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 188.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 166.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 79c | 165.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 18c | 152.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 24c | 151.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 22c | 147.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed No | 77c | 142.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 140.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 27c | 137.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 137.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…4066backed Yes | 18c | 135.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 132.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 23c | 126.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 121.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed Yes | 37c | 115.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 27c | 112.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 9c | 109.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 26c | 104.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 74c | 94.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 18c | 93.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 75c | 90.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 17c | 87.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 86.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 73c | 81.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 75c | 80.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc98backed No | 65c | 76.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…2604backed Yes | 15c | 68.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked Yes | 27c | 66.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…1f73backed Yes | 23c | 66.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb84…a2dfbacked Yes | 31c | 65.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 18c | 63.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 60.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1190backed Yes | 32c | 51.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Yes | 27c | 51.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e17…4dd9backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…2920backed Yes | 24c | 50.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…da08backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 75c | 49.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…a607backed Yes | 33c | 47.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 74c | 37.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06e…291bbacked Yes | 28c | 35.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…2b6cbacked No | 68c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…94e5backed No | 79c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 75c | 24.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…b6eebacked No | 67c | 22.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…3317backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 78.4%98 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…3a4ebacked No | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…93c2backed No | 80c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 18.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.