Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56fdbf9d2f3705340bd55b419679fd7213168e09a17474ec08008e0791913e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed No | 77c | 5,376$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.33 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 8c | 4,843$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.32 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 37c | 2,682$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 1c | 2,411$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,811$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 15c | 1,558$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,053$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 973.32$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 914.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked No | 40c | 862.22$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.06 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 39c | 758.34$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 39c | 749.84$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 710.28$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 684.6$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 672.97$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 601.36$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 591.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 58c | 523.75$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.43 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 514.69$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 9c | 484.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 3c | 453.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 435$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 429.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 426.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 40c | 399.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 77c | 390.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 13c | 317.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 23c | 310.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 76c | 308.89$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed No | 80c | 292$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 282.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 52c | 268.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 44c | 252.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 35c | 250.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 32c | 236.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 32c | 235.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 234.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 45c | 211.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 22c | 209.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 11c | 204.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 204.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +295%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 36c | 199.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0a…6830backed No | 23c | 191.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +135%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 26c | 182.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 179$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 79c | 178.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 57c | 163.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 159.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 11c | 156.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 155.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…af98backed Yes | 42c | 135.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed No | 42c | 134.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…e57abacked Yes | 37c | 134.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 48c | 133.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…fea9backed Yes | 38c | 130.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 126.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 72c | 126.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 60c | 121.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 15c | 116.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 15c | 112.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 29c | 112$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed No | 62c | 111.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 111.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 74c | 110.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 57c | 100.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…52d5backed Yes | 41c | 100.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…0b0fbacked Yes | 41c | 99.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…abb2backed No | 49c | 99.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 98.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…a30bbacked Yes | 41c | 98.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 97.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 60c | 95.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 39c | 92.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 22c | 92.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 45c | 91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a9…5165backed Yes | 45c | 88.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 67c | 86.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 48c | 84.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 82.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 54c | 80.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked Yes | 33c | 79.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 36c | 78.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 73c | 78.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 48c | 76.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…b85dbacked Yes | 69c | 75.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 40c | 73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…f408backed Yes | 17c | 70.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 71c | 68.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.