Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d04583cbfd5aef58531d49fef378c55a1945f2a988ae7e69b6aaa63ecd5ecfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 10c | 1,251$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 13c | 670.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 73c | 504.27$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 459.4$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38adbacked Yes | 29c | 343.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 30c | 317.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 33c | 265.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 229.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 34c | 217.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed Yes | 71c | 211.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 79c | 208.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 70c | 198.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 80c | 197.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 171.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3316backed Yes | 31c | 169.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 65c | 153.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 152$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 77c | 148.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 34c | 146.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 142.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 141.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 140.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 132.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 131.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 126.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 123.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 70c | 121.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 115.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 18c | 113.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 31c | 108.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 25c | 108.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed No | 64c | 102.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 42c | 102.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 24c | 97.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed Yes | 22c | 90.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Yes | 58c | 90.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…e084backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 19c | 69.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 16c | 68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 73c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 69c | 65.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 22c | 65.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…8c3ebacked Yes | 23c | 64.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 25c | 60.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 25c | 60.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 23c | 59.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked No | 78c | 57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 54.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 25c | 50.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 33c | 49.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 31c | 49.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 49.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 28c | 48.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked Yes | 33c | 48.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…71a1backed No | 39c | 41.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…b0f2backed Yes | 30c | 40.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…9a31backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 37c | 38.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0ef3backed Yes | 80c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 29c | 36.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 72c | 34.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Yes | 35c | 34.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…0b41backed Yes | 48c | 32.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 33c | 32.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 68c | 31.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…72c0backed No | 56c | 29.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…5915backed Yes | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed No | 76c | 27.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…bfbabacked No | 38c | 26.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 67c | 25.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…5d00backed Yes | 57c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…7e67backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…a14ebacked Yes | 59c | 21.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.