Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Fordham Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3763522583ccce7c4b997f71d332e07bc85cd8aa4bf2e817137adcf23daff51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fordham Ramsof LIU Sharks, Fordham Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed LIU Sharks | 41c | 7,561$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fordham Rams | 59c | 3,775$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fordham Rams | 59c | 2,046$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.54 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fordham Rams | 59c | 1,189$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fordham Rams | 61c | 1,130$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fordham Rams | 64c | 1,052$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks | 40c | 700.23$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked LIU Sharks | 39c | 699.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked LIU Sharks | 40c | 270$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed LIU Sharks | 21c | 265.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed LIU Sharks | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed LIU Sharks | 40c | 224$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Fordham Rams | 59c | 206.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed LIU Sharks | 39c | 137.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed LIU Sharks | 41c | 129$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked LIU Sharks | 33c | 119.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fordham Rams | 63c | 111.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LIU Sharks | 35c | 100.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked LIU Sharks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LIU Sharks | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…7b1fbacked Fordham Rams | 60c | 85.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Fordham Rams | 58c | 65.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Fordham Rams | 61c | 63.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed LIU Sharks | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Fordham Rams | 59c | 47.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fordham Rams | 62c | 46.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LIU Sharks | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fordham Rams | 59c | 42.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed LIU Sharks | 40c | 42.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Fordham Rams | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…efd8backed Fordham Rams | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…8e68backed LIU Sharks | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1848backed Fordham Rams | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…f29cbacked Fordham Rams | 65c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed LIU Sharks | 35c | 29.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed LIU Sharks | 41c | 29.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…110ebacked LIU Sharks | 41c | 27.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Fordham Rams | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed Fordham Rams | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Fordham Rams | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.