Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e302ec36dfc052ff1aa9d9f1d6f501a23159e0018f83db38869c6d561a26229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 52c | 2,009$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.18 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 46c | 1,034$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.04 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 57c | 916.31$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 686.67$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.54 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 37c | 474.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 52c | 405.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 396.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 367$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 15c | 347.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 329.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 322$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 55c | 321.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 320.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 77c | 315.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 29c | 313.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 295.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 65c | 274.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 47c | 268.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 264.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 15c | 254.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 244.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 50c | 231.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…4623backed No | 47c | 215.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 40c | 211.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…e2b1backed No | 43c | 210.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 43c | 184.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 7c | 183.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 41c | 170.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 64c | 169.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 47c | 169.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 35c | 165.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 43c | 159.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 156.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 45c | 153.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…368ebacked Yes | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 142.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 65c | 139$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 138.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 78c | 135$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 45c | 133.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 44c | 130.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 53c | 130.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked No | 44c | 120.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 51c | 120.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 77c | 112.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Yes | 63c | 109.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 40c | 106.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 35c | 103.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…2f7fbacked Yes | 68c | 103.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 46c | 103.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…e3f2backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 41c | 98.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 62c | 96.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 43c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 58c | 95.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 89.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 43c | 88.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 46c | 87.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 51c | 82.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 39c | 80.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 75c | 80.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 37c | 80.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 35c | 79.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 58c | 79.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 65c | 77.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 55c | 75.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 74.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked Yes | 43c | 69.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 37c | 67.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 36c | 67.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 75c | 66.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 58c | 66.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 57c | 59.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 79c | 55.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…796fbacked No | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…bba7backed Yes | 77c | 54.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 47c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed No | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 65c | 52.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…f6c5backed Yes | 79c | 50.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…cd7bbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 65c | 50.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 39c | 50.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…868ebacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 57c | 49.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 51c | 44.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fff…1e5abacked Yes | 58c | 43.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.