Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703b1b32205655ab130e4a44589565ae54f51411df92df5a6fc289776eb0da88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 4,416$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.08 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 635$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 40c | 542.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 65c | 420$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 36c | 373.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 308.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 65c | 252$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 36c | 224.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 6c | 212.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 69c | 200.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 18c | 188.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 30c | 183.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 179.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 61c | 172.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 154.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 67c | 151$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 145$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 134.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 123$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes | 38c | 121.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 104.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 61c | 102.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 48c | 92.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 84.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 84.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 67c | 82.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 31c | 81.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…8f96backed Yes | 34c | 71.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 61c | 66.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 60c | 63.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 28c | 61.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 65c | 57.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 57.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 69c | 57.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 57.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 39c | 55.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 54.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed No | 56c | 50.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…60fbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 60c | 43.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 42.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 38c | 41.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…ee2ebacked Yes | 39c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 32%71 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Yes | 40c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8d4abacked No | 65c | 30.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…1a2abacked No | 60c | 25.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 64c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 44c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…abc5backed Yes | 44c | 23.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…d394backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…90acbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…13e1backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed No | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed No | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 64c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.