Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569fa154f6753df90f65190ffb4a5c7aab01ff4dbd8a559f5c96eb66638b96f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 40c | 819.86$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.97 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 61c | 520.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5b42backed No | 60c | 435.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 62c | 397.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 338.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 320.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 37c | 306.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 65c | 304.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 36c | 282.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 252.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…1e18backed Yes | 39c | 251.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 58c | 244.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf23…3f54backed Yes | 38c | 225.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…afa2backed No | 66c | 212.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 60c | 211.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 45c | 196$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 41c | 194.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 42c | 166.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 160.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…083abacked No | 77c | 150.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 68c | 146.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 146$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 57c | 141.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 141.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 137$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 129.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ec…e790backed No | 47c | 129.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 38c | 122.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 61c | 121.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 115.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…21e5backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 39c | 100.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…1423backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 60c | 95.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 93.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 32c | 93.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8605backed Yes | 38c | 92.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 91.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 40c | 89.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 88.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…bcadbacked Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 50c | 84.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 65c | 79.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 58c | 73.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 61c | 70.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…b975backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 59c | 67.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 62c | 64.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…f4fcbacked Yes | 39c | 63.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 60c | 60.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…981cbacked Yes | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 56c | 53.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 55c | 53.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 61c | 52.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 48c | 52.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 51c | 50.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…70a4backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 40c | 49.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 66c | 41.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 61c | 41.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 40.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 31c | 40.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 67c | 36.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…9633backed No | 61c | 36.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 70c | 35.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 38c | 35.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 69c | 33.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…9e87backed No | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 90 | 66.7%60 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…ccb4backed Yes | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 55c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 38c | 31.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…0be5backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 59c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…16b5backed Yes | 40c | 26.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6915…f454backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.