Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddfa73699de54f4a0bd552a387b9c40ef9a68293693632cc5c18a00fa9dbd58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked No | 67c | 4,755$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.76 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,037$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.59 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 1,889$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.97 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 1,048$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed No | 70c | 704.37$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.75 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 68c | 460.41$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 423.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 32c | 388.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 64c | 379.79$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 68c | 369.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 76c | 343.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 315$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 35c | 302.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.14 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 27c | 298.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 72c | 214.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 24c | 207.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 186$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 75c | 179.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 178.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 25c | 170$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 147.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 32c | 147.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 57c | 139.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 34c | 117.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 116.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…fc75backed Yes | 23c | 113.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 37c | 96.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 73c | 94.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 73c | 91.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 33c | 87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…31ffbacked Yes | 24c | 80.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 33c | 75.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 35c | 75.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 73.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 56c | 72.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 39c | 72.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…ea0bbacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 38c | 63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 30c | 51.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…aac7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…e6ddbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…2851backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 49.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 44.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 40c | 42.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 25c | 41.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 61c | 40.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 34c | 39.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…e48bbacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 31c | 38.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 51c | 37.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 29c | 36.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 35.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked Yes | 29c | 34.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 147 | 25.2%37 W · 110 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked No | 77c | 33.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked No | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 58c | 32.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 62c | 28.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 27.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 37c | 27.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f7…ad30backed No | 75c | 26.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 23.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 64c | 23.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c9d2backed No | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…c84fbacked No | 74c | 22.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…e863backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 60c | 18.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 60c | 18.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed No | 76c | 17.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…2de4backed No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.