Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba8465cd60e96d20ac97ad48459535e70d825fcb5cf3f62f3f89768dc6f1f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked No | 60c | 4,600$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.86 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,309$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.26 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 2,004$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.7 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…c18fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 68c | 1,413$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.89 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,127$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 1,044$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.97 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…e4e2backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 49c | 446.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 68c | 419.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 20c | 416.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…a98dbacked Yes | 34c | 401.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 69c | 360$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 33c | 356.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 71c | 353.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 32c | 321.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 29c | 298.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 36c | 291.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 275$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 76c | 271$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 76c | 266$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 34c | 257.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 48c | 239.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 71c | 216.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 31c | 179.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 168.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 32c | 149.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 135.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…6412backed Yes | 39c | 132.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 29c | 125.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 61c | 110.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 28c | 105.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 64c | 100.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 34c | 98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 34c | 93.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 91.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 35c | 86.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 83.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 73c | 81.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…31ffbacked Yes | 32c | 81.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 39c | 74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 73.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 41c | 73.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 32c | 66.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…467cbacked Yes | 55c | 63.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 33c | 60.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 38c | 58.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 72c | 53.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…e6ddbacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0c9cbacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 51c | 48.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 73c | 45.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…35c2backed No | 69c | 43.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 35c | 41.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed Yes | 38c | 39.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…5123backed Yes | 32c | 37.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 36.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bb68backed Yes | 55c | 36.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…53f9backed Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…e3cabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…268abacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 64c | 29.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 29.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 27.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.