Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe244b0a5380b3a6dbcc1a6ac586512feadc335595757d417a91d86eacab0c1e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 820.07$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 41c | 791.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.58 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 43c | 766.44$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.67 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 56c | 647.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.29 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 45c | 471$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 59c | 344.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 56c | 318.87$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed Yes | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 218 | 29.4%64 W · 154 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 58c | 276.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 65c | 268.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 57c | 262.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…60febacked Yes | 57c | 261.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 59c | 246.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 16c | 242.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 240.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 230$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…e130backed No | 62c | 198.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 64c | 195.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 181.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 40c | 180.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 31c | 165.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 165.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 162$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 60c | 160.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 57c | 158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 45c | 154.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…807abacked No | 65c | 153.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked No | 67c | 149.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 36c | 140.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed Yes | 38c | 130.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 65c | 125.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 121.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 19c | 120.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 42c | 120.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 45c | 118.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 80c | 117.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 116.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 64c | 115.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 61c | 115.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…16f9backed No | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…4e58backed Yes | 79c | 114.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 40c | 113.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 55c | 110.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…3464backed Yes | 45c | 110.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 73c | 110.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked No | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 106.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…883dbacked Yes | 34c | 106.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 106.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 102.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 34c | 101.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…2305backed No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 33c | 96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…6532backed Yes | 58c | 93.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 65c | 90.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 49c | 88.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 41c | 88.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 16c | 85.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 33c | 84.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 42c | 80.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…1873backed Yes | 43c | 79.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 40c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 75.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 56c | 75.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 41c | 72.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…d255backed Yes | 45c | 71.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 71.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 60c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 52c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 64.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 56c | 64.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…0f66backed Yes | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 42c | 62.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 60.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 39c | 60.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 37c | 60.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 31c | 60.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 61c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 40c | 54.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 35c | 52.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 77c | 51.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…aac1backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.